Paying for Financial Insurance
The assorted downgrades in the financial-services sector have investors selling shares and holders of debt taking out additional insurance to guard against the risk of default in trading today.
All four of the major brokerages show a higher cost to insure $10 million in bonds against default, according to analysts at Phoenix Partners Group, which tracks the spreads on credit-default swaps. The same can be said for Citigroup Inc., which has lost 6% in trading and was the most actively traded on the Big Board in the wake of a downgrade from brokerage Goldman Sachs.
Paying the Band
The cost of insurance on $10 million in bonds
| Company | Current Cost | Yesterday |
| Goldman Sachs | $130,000 | $120,000 |
| Citigroup | $140,000 | $128,000 |
| Morgan Stanley | $205,000 | $190,000 |
| Merrill Lynch | $252,000 | $235,000 |
| Lehman Brothers | $290,000 | $265,000 |
Source: Phoenix Partners Group
Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s credit-default swaps are also wider, moving out to 130 basis points, or $130,000 to insure $10 million in bonds against default for five years. Wachovia Securities downgraded the stock to “market perform,” expressing concerns about slowing growth in the banking and prime brokerage areas. “GS is the leader in the space…but is not immune to weaker markets and likely lackluster summer conditions.”
Analysts at Sanford Bernstein were also critical of brokers today, particularly Merrill Lynch & Co., as it lowered estimates on the firm to a loss of $1.07 a share for the quarter, down from a 56-cent profit earlier. “Unlike in past cycles, this time around MER has found itself with the largest balance sheet exposure to CDO assets among the large capitalization brokerage firms,” they write, estimating write-downs of $3.5 billion for Merrill.
In respect to AMBAC and MBIA, they need to keep and save all the cash possible including stop paying dividends, deleverage from all their risky liabilities specially those CDS, CDO’s, RMBS-ABS of uncertain value, in order to remediate their book values, once their book values are sound they need to reinstate their triple A rating again to write new low risk public bond insurance business. They can also open or extend a line of credit to make sure to continue operations and dissipate doubts.
They are already doing these, so it will take some time to deleverage their books from uncertainties and rewrite new business again. This coming back will be the best advertisement to recruit new clients.
the comment by Iwillgolong is exactly right. good blogging
Why in the world would you pay for insurance when even the insurance is not even covered… you think? Just like “C” and “ML”, it’s like buying a bag from the insurance companies and our government of (”JUNK MAIL”)! YUP!
Good Job… DG!
No one wants to see important firms like these struggle. But it may be quite awhile before their salvation is at hand. Opportunities are elsewhere.
I heard Lehman will be trying to get more cash to cover their positions, as well as take more writedowns. Now’s the time to invest. We’ve seen the bottom.

MarketBeat, led by Wall Street Journal Online writer David Gaffen, looks under the hood of Wall Street each day, finding market-moving news and analyzing interesting trends and numbers. The blog is updated several times daily with contributions from reporters at The Wall Street Journal and the Online Journal and includes noteworthy commentary from the best blogs and research notes. Have a comment? Write to 