G-8 Gamble: Pols Hope for Salvation in ‘Clean Coal’
Plenty of environmentalists—and not a few politicians—are disappointed with the G-8’s long-awaited plan to curb greenhouse-gas emissions and fight climate change. But one group should be thrilled: anybody with a stake in the future of “clean coal.”
The agreement by the rich-country club to aspire to cut GHG emissions by 50% by 2050 is basically a paean to the prospects of clean coal. To wit: The main concerns of the G-8, as laid out in the group’s joint statement, are to avoid the most severe consequences of global warming by cutting emissions, but only by guaranteeing “sustainable economic development” and “energy security.”
In the short term, the group wants to accelerate development of existing clean-energy technologies, like wind and solar power (and even much-maligned biofuels got a vote of confidence.)
But in the medium and long term, meeting the group’s goal of cutting emissions “will depend on the development and deployment of low-carbon technologies in ways that will enable us to meet our sustainable economic development and energy security objectives. In this regard, we emphasize the importance and urgency of adopting appropriate measures to stimulate development and deployment of innovative technologies and practices.”
That appears to mean clean coal. While some other energy technologies got a nod, like nuclear power or renewable energy, clean coal received the most attention and the biggest boost—on paper at least:
We strongly support the launching of 20 large-scale [carbon capture and storage]demonstration projects globally by 2010, taking into account various national circumstances, with a view to beginning broad deployment of CCS by 2020. To accelerate these and other efforts, we are committed to increasing investment in both basic and applied environmental and clean energy technology research and development (R&D), and the promotion of commercialization including through direct government funding and fiscal measures to encourage private sector investment.
Which raises a few questions. If clean-coal demonstration projects are such a priority, why did the U.S. government pull the plug on the FutureGen clean-coal pilot plant in Illinois? And while politicians around the world are hopeful clean coal will be a commercial reality in just over a decade, people in the industry (not to mention coal opponents) are less sanguine.
And what about the economics of clean coal? Coal’s main appeal is that it is cheaper than other generation technology, thanks to ample coal supplies. But coal is getting a lot more expensive thanks to rampant global demand; Asian coal prices have tripled in the past year. Installing technology to capture carbon-dioxide emissions from burning coal adds even more cost, and makes plants run less efficiently. And then there’s the expensive problem of how to store the stuff safely underground for hundreds of years.
President Bush has long said that technology, rather than simple belt-tightening, will provide the tools to fight climate change. But policy-makers also always say they don’t want to pick winners from among competing energy technologies. Is the G-8 trying to cherry pick clean-tech winners?
Clean coal technology refers not to any one project but to an entire suite of advanced technologies. For example, there are more than 300 research projects around the country where several billion dollars are being devoted to clean coal technology, each one breaking new ground and helping pave the way for an energy independent future.
The U.S. Department of Energy recently announced that it plans to fund the addition of carbon controls for integrated gasification combined cycle power plants being planned. In addition, the agency will begin concentrating on several new carbon capture and sequestration projects.
As for FutureGen itself … despite what you may have heard or read, the FutureGen project has not been cancelled. Even though President Bush decided not to include FutureGen in his budget proposal, Congress has the final say on funding. The discussion on FutureGen simply moves to Capitol Hill.
Remember — the benefits of investing in clean coal technologies far outweigh the costs. Coal will remain the backbone of the U.S. electricity system for decades if not centuries, and incorporating carbon capture and sequestration is essential to our future.
David, you wrote “Coal will remain the backbone of the U.S. electricity system for decades if not centuries …”
The National Research Council of the National Academies is certainly more prudent. Here is what it said last summer in its report to Congress: “Despite significant uncertainties in existing reserve estimates, it is clear that there is sufficient coal at current rates of production to meet anticipated needs through 2030. Looking further into the future, there is probably enough coal to meet the nation’s needs for more than 100 years at current (2005) rates of consumption. However, it is not possible to confirm the often-quoted assertion that there is sufficient coal for the next 250 years.”
We actually have more than 200 years worth of coal. Here’s the math:
The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates the U.S. had recoverable reserves of 267.6 billion short tons of coal in 2003, the latest period for which data are available. By computation, based on current consumption of 1,125.2 million short tons per year, those reserves of 267.6 billion short tons would last more than 230 years.
In addition, new technologies are popping up all the time that allow us to get more coal from a mine than we thought possible.
We can convert coal burning power plants to clean nuclear plants using equipment that you can cut a purchase order for today.
Every needed part is being sold today for other applications.
We made such a plant at Ft St Vrain, Colorado, the Germans made several - one, the AVR ran 21 years, a much bigger one, the THTR-300 ran 5 years connected to the Germain grid, the Chinese are going to build 19 HTR-PMs at Rongcheng.
We do not have such massive amounts of coal that we can burn without concern. Coal should be reserved as the carbon feedstock for synthetic vehicle fuel.
Synthetic fuel plants put out as much syncrude every day as a deep water oil platform and cost about the same.
Much cleaner to use the heat from pebbles to turn coal into gasoline without making literally thousands of tons of CO2 by burning coal to make the necessary heat.
The United States isn’t spending one penny on studies looking into converting coal power plants to pebble bed nuclear. That’s your tax dollars at work.
“Clean coal” will never be economical because the sheer volume of CO2 that must be disposed of makes it expensive. Every ton of coal burned greates 3.7 tons of CO2 because you must also sequester two oxygen atoms for every coal atom. It is amazing the billions being wasted on this folly while virtually nothing is spent on EGS geothermal, which can do the job of providing baseload power at a fraction of the cost. www.clrlight.org
David with ACCCE (American for Clean Coal Electricity) wrote “We actually have more than 200 years worth of coal. Here’s the math: The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates …”
The NCR/NAS does not have confidence in the method used by the USGS to come up with these reserve estimates, re-used by the DOE/EIA and others. This is the entire point. The methodology that yields these estimates was developed/codified in the mid 1970s — please check the report to (and requested by) Congress. The report also deals with safe mining technologies and operations. Not a one way ticket to more usable coal/BTUs.
Finally, several new clean coal technologies, first and foremost Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), are energy intensive. Depending on the path followed (supercritical pulverised coal, supercritical oxy-fuel pulverized coal; integrated gasification combined cycle), CCS entails a stiff energy penalty of up to 35%. (Source: 2007 MIT study The Future of Coal). Put differently, you’d need to burn 35% more coal — build a 675 MW CSS plant to get 500 MW of “clean coal” power.
Do-able (even if the technology has not been demonstrated at that level), desirable perhaps, but costly.
But it would also draw down on reserves much faster, at the current level of consumption of power generated from coal.
When all these uncertainties are considered, we can’t affirm that coal will meet our growing needs for centuries.
We have a lot more Sun than we have Coal.
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Or to rephrase that “Photons are America’s most abundant fuel”. By a long shot.
http://www.greyfalcon.net/energy2.png
greyfalcon.net/solarthermal
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The main fallacy put forward by groups like ACCCE is that Coal is “1/3rd the Cost”.
(Which has renamed themselves from “Americans for Balanced Energy Choices”)
youtube.com/watch?v=a8vLDxenusE
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They kind of forgot to mention that complying with the 2005 clean air act more than triples the price of a new coal plant. (Funny, how people don’t like breathing Uranium, Radon, Thorium, Mercury, and Acid Rain)
greyfalcon.net/costlycoal
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Add to that, Sequestration more than six-tuples the price. (It also cuts the efficiency of the plant down by 20%)
greyfalcon.net/costlycoal2
greyfalcon.net/costlycoal5
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Add to that, coal plants can’t get ANY financing from major banks unless they can prove they are financially viable under carbon restrictions. (Which they can’t either way)
greyfalcon.net/costlycoal4
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==Bottom line:==
Coal can’t be both clean and cheap.
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But groups like ACCCE will lie their faces off telling you otherwise.
In Illinois after more than 100 years of extracting coal , only 5% of the total amount was extracted . The whole state has a layer of coal.
Industry and government have to forge relationships and work together on reducing emissions.
Here’s an announcement that the Alberta government made yesterday, and a great example of how the two can work together to make carbon capture and storage comercially viable:
Alberta surges ahead with climate change action plan
$2 billion invested in carbon capture and storage; $2 billion in public transit
Calgary… The Alberta government is surging ahead on its climate change action plan with two new funds totaling $4 billion to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions equal to taking more than a million cars off the road each year.
The province will create a $2-billion fund to advance carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects while a second $2-billion fund will propel energy-saving public transit in Alberta.
“We’re tackling both sides of the emissions challenge on behalf of Albertans and all Canadians,” said Premier Ed Stelmach. “We’re reducing the impact of industrial emissions with carbon capture and storage and investing in public transit to reduce the impact from our tailpipes.”
Stelmach said while other jurisdictions talk, his government’s Climate Change Strategy has legislated real targets and real action. “With this announcement we will continue to demonstrate leadership and encourage the federal government and Alberta industries to make real investments in carbon capture and storage.”
Funds will be allocated to encourage construction of Alberta’s first large-scale CCS projects. The province has issued a request for expressions of interest to begin identifying those CCS proposals with the greatest potential of being built quickly and those which provide the best opportunities to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions. With the potential to reduce emissions at facilities such as coal-fired electricity plants and oil sands extraction sites and upgraders, the $2-billion fund will support CCS projects that are expected to reduce emissions by up to five million tonnes annually. That is the equivalent of taking a million vehicles off the road, or one-third of all vehicles registered in Alberta.
In addition, the equivalent of thousands more Alberta vehicles will be taken off streets and highways through $2 billion in public transit investments. The Green Transit Incentives Program (Green TRIP) will promote the use of local, regional and inter-city public transit. The program will support new public transit alternatives throughout the province that will significantly reduce the number of vehicles on Alberta roads and reduce GHG emissions.
Funds for the two initiatives will come from this year’s surplus, which the province expects will be significantly larger than predicted due to higher-than-forecast oil and gas prices.
Alberta’s Climate Change Action Plan, which will cut projected GHG emissions in half by 2050, is based on three key areas: carbon capture and storage; energy conservation and efficiency; and greening energy production.
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While environmentalists may always object to anything with the word “coal” in it, there’s a lot of ignorance about the actual technological features of “clean coal.” Coal may still produce greenhouse gases, and is not a renewable resource, but the technology has been developed to filter, or scrub, many of the nasty SOx and NOx pollutants that result from older coal burning practices. For an idea of how clean coal could perhaps become a future fuel, read an extensive report on the technology published by the DOE’s National Energy Technology Laboratory: http://www.brightfuture.us/new.