Secondary Sources: Fannie and Freddie, Credit Crisis, Neueoeconomics
A roundup of economic news from around the Web.
Compiled by Phil Izzo
Oil Bubble is Bursting
USO dipped below 100. Oil prices will do the same. Close your long positions before your losses pile up!
fuck you,
FNM & FRE over $20 in 2 years. Guaranteed.
Good Morning and Afternoon, After today’s positive economic data, Durable Goods Orders and Michigan Consumer Sentiment, we are inching toward scenario #4 in “Four Whom the Bell Tolls.” Scenario #4 is the most bullish for equities, and allows Bernanke’s FOMC to begin raising rates.
Is that why crude oil is currently trading lower ahead of the weekend?
Crude oil rarely falls before the uncertainties of a weekend, so the pendulum of yesterday’s negative trade has been more than neutralized in our opinion.
Here is “Four Whom the Bell Tolls”(Four Scenarios):
http://psychologyofthecall.blogspot.com/2008/06/four-whom-bell-tolls-potcs-four.html
A safe & healthy weekend to all, please visit the Island Saturday night, as we will have an in depth “Psychology in the Upcoming Week’s Earnings and Economic Data.”
The Psychology of the Call team leaves you with the 11 Commandments:
We live in a world of expectations - how our collective brains set these expectations is important stuff.
Our expectations about future salary increases will increase spending before the salary increase kicks in.
Our expectations about an economic recession often lead to a recession (thank you MSM for banging the drum).
Our expectations about future oil supplies will be reflected in the price of oil TODAY!
Connecting how our brains process information to calibrate expectations about the future is an enormously important area of exploration.
The WSJ article “Amid Turmoil, U.S. Turns Away From Decades of Deregulation” is really good. The only thing is that it lies when it says “when a private individual, banker J.P. Morgan, bailed out a floundering U.S. economy — stirred so much political outrage on the left that in 1913 the government created the Federal Reserve to run the financial system ”
Check this post on that issue: http://liberalrealism.typepad.com/my_weblog/2008/07/wsj-says-the-le.html
Stiglitz makes a very robust point!
That psychology blog site is very impressive.
FRE and FNM over $50 in 3 years. Guaranteed? Over $50, yes. 3 years? Can’t guarantee that. Timing is a hard thing to guarantee. Just ask El Senor Gross at PIMCO. After this mess, FRE and FNM will be a more powerful force than ever. This means they will be even deeper into the pockets of the fabled US taxpayer. The banks hate them. The mortgage companies hate them. Now the markets hate them. FNM and FRE couldn’t have written a better script. FNM and FRE to the rescue. It is like sleeping with the enemy. Better yet, the enemy is at the gates. FRE and FNM is the epitome of what government regulation has wraught. If you don’t like it, better get off that government regulation bandwagon.


Real Time Economics offers exclusive news, analysis and commentary on the economy, Federal Reserve policy and economics. The Wall Street Journal's Sudeep Reddy and Phil Izzo are the lead writers, with contributions from other Journal reporters and editors. Send news items, comments and questions to 