Thaler on Nudging People to Make Better Choices
University of Chicago Graduate School of Business economist Richard Thaler has spent his career arguing that people are less-than-rational when they make economic decisions. As a leading figure in behaviorist economics, he’s long argued that policymakers need to guide people where they’re prone to fail.

In his new book, “Nudge,” written with University of Chicago Law School professor Cass Sunstein, he looks at how policymakers might go about doing that. He and Mr. Sunstein make an argument for policies that guide people toward making optimal decisions while not depriving them of their ability to make a choice. They call this idea “libertarian paternalism.” (“Why not paternal libertarianism?” asked Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman at a recent event. “It’s no worse,” Mr. Thaler replied.)
Mr. Thaler discussed his work with the Journal’s Justin Lahart.
WSJ: I just ate a salad at my desk that’s advertised on its label as 98% fat free. How much better is that for me than a salad that’s 2% fat.
Thaler: A great question. While we can be reasonably sure that 98% fat free is no better for you than 2% fat, we can also be pretty sure that the salad seller chose the label it did with care. We know that the way a product is described, or as the psychologists say, “framed,” can have a strong influence on choice. In the language of our book, you have been “nudged” to buy that salad. Of course, that might not be all bad, if the alternative was a meat-lover’s pizza.
WSJ: We’re all familiar with how marketers, advertisers and, especially these days, vote-hungry politicians use framing to influence our choices. In your book, you argue that policymakers might use framing and other behavioral methods to get us to make better choices. Automatically signing employees up for their 401(k), with the option of dropping it, might serve them better than having 401(k) participation depend on their signing up. But at the same time, isn’t using “nudges” to modify people’s behavior manipulative?
Thaler: Nudges do alter behavior but calling them manipulative is unfairly pejorative (perhaps even manipulative!). As we stress in the book it is impossible to avoid some nudging. Much as we might wish for it these days, we cannot expect politicians to stop speaking. So they choose their words carefully. One is either pro choice or pro life. No one is anti-choice or life! Once we accept the fact that some nudging is inevitable, we can move on to the question of how nudges can be used to improve people’s lives, as judged by themselves.
WSJ: If you could put just one nudge into place in the U.S., what would it be?
Thaler: Picking your favorite nudge is a bit like picking your favorite child, however, if I have to pick just one I would go with our idea for electronic disclosure, what we call RECAP. The basic idea is that many aspects of our lives have gotten so complicated that it is no longer feasible for sellers to comply with “plain English disclosure.” This is certainly the case for mortgages, which have become very complex, but it is even true for cell phone plans and credit cards. Traditionally regulators have put into place rules to prevent “sharp” practices, but these rules are often a bad idea for two reasons. First, they can prevent innovation. Second, as soon as you abolish one shady strategy, sellers think of a new one. So, instead of bans and mandates, we propose that sellers be required to simply disclose what they are doing electronically.
Here is how it would work for credit cards. Once a year your credit card provider would have to send you two electronic files. The first would be essentially a spread sheet that characterized every way in which the provider can charge you for something, from late payments, to interest rate changes, to charges for currency exchanges. The second file would just be a list of everything you did in the past year that incurred a charge. We predict that Web sites would quickly emerge to translate and evaluate these files so consumers would understand how they were being charged and what they did to incur charges. The web sites would also provide information on alternative suppliers that would be better given the customer’s usage.
We think this idea would work very well in many domains, from mortgages, to cellphone plans, to the Medicare prescription drug program.
WSJ: In our personal lives, what ways can we employ nudges to help us make better decisions? Are there any that have worked especially well for you?
Thaler: We both try to make as much use as possible of automatic payment mechanisms. Being absent-minded professors who travel a lot, it can be difficult to get the bills paid on time. Automatic payment is wonderful. However, many credit cards try to make it difficult to set things up to pay your credit card bill in full each month. Generally the default is to pay the minimum. This is an example of a self-serving nudge by business. We encourage consumers to give their business to credit-card issuers who make it easy to pay your bill in full each month.
WSJ: You and Cass Sunstein have both advised Barack Obama, and your friend and colleague Austan Goolsbee is Sen. Obama’s chief economic advisor. Do you see ways in which the Obama platform employs nudges?
Thaler: There are several ways in which the Obama campaign employs nudges. For example, the idea of automatic enrollment is used in several domains such as his health-care plan, and of course, his reluctance to have a mandate is in line with our philosophical approach. More generally, Obama has embraced the idea of improving the interface between citizens and the government by employing better choice architecture. Obama refers to these ideas as creating an “Ipod government,” meaning that interacting with the government would be as easy to use as the Ipod. One example is Goolsbee’s idea to offer people with no outside income or itemized deductions a prepared tax return they can simply sign and return. This would save tax payers lots of time and money.
Also, the campaign has adopted some of our ideas on improving the Medicare Prescription Drug program. The designers of that program missed the essential point that simply offering people lots of choices (there are 50 more plans per state to choose from) does not make people better off if they are unable to do a good job of picking among the plans. It would be easy to offer participants suggestions that would save both the beneficiaries and the government lots of money. Finally, the campaign has adopted some of our ideas on making the terms of credit card and mortgages easier to understand and more transparent.
Good piece, thanks.
Senator Obama has my vote.
The Oil price nearly reached all time high today, before settling down below $126 pbl. Recession is inevitable.
People always make rational decisions based upon their perceived cost and benefits. You do not make them more rational with “nudges”, you only change their perceptions of the costs and benefits. Also, when you artificially alter someones cost and benefit structure so as to guide them to the choice you think is right, that is not allowing them to actually choose for themselves. Not much different than a mugger holding a gun to your head and raising the costs of you making a different choice than what he wants, but you still never-the-less get to make the final decision. No thanks, I don’t want the government altering my natural choices through marketing, automatic enrollment, or subsidies.
People don’t have real, competitive health care choices. They have the choices offered to them by their state’s government, and don’t have the option of choosing across the 50 states.
According to CATO Institute, “…the cost of a standard health insurance policy for a healthy 25-year old man in New Jersey comes to $5,580. However, a similar policy in Kentucky, which has far fewer mandates, would cost him only $960 per year.”
People need choices. They day the null hypothesis of governing becomes the idea that our general populace is incapable of making important decisions on their own without government intervention is beginning of the end of democracy in our time.
Just as well as every other industry, only fully competitive incentives in health insurance will alleviate our burgeoning health care costs. Half-truths and partial-realizations of market forces will only perpetuate our continuingly disgusting misallocation of resources into an increasingly inefficient industry.
How does this relate to voting for Obama? He wants to “nudge” taxes higher, “nudge” government spending higher, “nudge” restrictions on free trade higher, etc.
This is the worst possible thing to do at this time. Obama’s economic policies will help “nudge” the economy down and more Americans out of a job.
Obama wants to raise taxes on earnings and investments. How is this a positive incentive to work and save?
Smells like red in here.
What is the downside? What is the long-run impact? Will we become less able to evaluate decisions and make the optimal choices given unique circumstances? Will our ability to optimize be subject to atrophy?
So who gets to decide what the “better” choice is?
This is typical elitism. “We know better than you, and you’re too stupid to choose what we tell you, so we’ll trick you into choosing our choice.” For example, retirement saving is often a good idea at any age. But it’s not always the best choice. Should a man save for his own retirement, or spend/invest for his children’s future?
Framing the question is absolutely manipulative. Marketers do it all the time. So does the government. But let’s not forget that the one doing the framing is acting in their own self-interest, no matter what they proclaim in the public square.
Jose (Bel Air, MD)
I was once “automatically enrolled” then I went to Vietnam. This brings me to a question inherent in the title of this piece, who decides what the “better decision” should be?
There is something profoundly egalitarian and unhealthy about this, still it exists.
“The first would be essentially a spread sheet that characterized every way in which the provider can charge you for something, from late payments, to interest rate changes, to charges for currency exchanges. The second file would just be a list of everything you did in the past year that incurred a charge. We predict that Web sites would quickly emerge to translate and evaluate these files so consumers would understand how they were being charged and what they did to incur charges. The web sites would also provide information on alternative suppliers that would be better given the customer’s usage.”
Wow, way to simplify things!! Some of these Profs really need to spend time in the real world.
THALER IS THE MAN. I am currently enrolled in his class at GSB it is awesome, and so far the only class in my academic career that I have looked forward to attending.
More nudging? I don’t need more nudging from the government or advertising. More facts? Yes. Choices designed to help me and not the government or business? Yes. A rational tax system which does not result in a non-productive multi billion dollar tax preparation industry/nightmare would be a good start.
The fact is, if you want a socialized medical program, you have to be honest with the people and EVERYONE has to pay, rich and poor alike. You will never pay for the massive costs of a socialized medical program on the backs of the top 10 or 20% in the income pool. Obama doesn’t seem to get it. He doesn’t understand the concept that lowering taxes tends to generate more money and he doesn’t understand that a massive program like this will need to be paid for by everyone. I guess Rev. Wright didn’t explain that in his lectures.
Funny how the manipulators and confidence who rely on the ignorance of their marks keep screaming “elitism” whenever someone points out that the confidence men and manipulators are relying on the ignorance of their marks.
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We have a choice, neither of which is acceptable to the manipulators. We can give people a good education in science, mathematics and logic so they can defend themselves against the con men or we can create rules that make the behavior of the con men illegal.
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Either way, the con men whine. They want to have ignorant victims. They try to ’side’ with their victims against ‘elitists’ because they don’t want their victims to realize how badly they are being screwed by their own ignorance.
lowering taxes tends to generate more money
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Ronald Reagan and George W Bush have tested that claim and proven it false. Laffer is making money on the gullibility of Americans.
i’m not too comfortable with this when we’re talking about the government (i don’t care if, say a company does it; i can quit my job if i disagree, but it’s a lot harder to quit my country). as other commentators out there have also said, it becomes a slippery slope. thaler acknowledges that politicians already frame things in a way to get a response/vote, and we know we don’t always get good policy because of it. the reason is that politicians have a screwed up set of incentives that forces them to choose policies that will get them re-elected. they’re already supposed to be doing things that are in my best interest, though often they seem to be in the best interest of a special group (farm bill, anyone?). what makes thaler and sunstein think that these same politicians are going to all of a sudden become really good at nudging me in my best interest?
so many people nowadays already look to the government as their momma or daddy. this doesn’t help.
also, i don’t understand how his example with RECAP is even a nudge. it doesn’t look like anything more than a disclosure requirement that helps people make better decisions. if this is a nudge, it seems, so is every SEC filing requirement for public companies. (though i haven’t read the book, so i don’t know the full definition of a nudge.)
The social engineers know how Americans feel about command and control, so they’ve done a little framing and renamed it “nudge”.
‘Real Economist’ is a real economist. Well put and I concur.
Thaler needs to read my book The Road to Serfdom.
lower taxes do not cause more revenue…..
….You sure about that one? I could be wrong (I’m not), but I think that federal revenues from almost every tax decrease, have increased.
Everyone knows the capital gains argument. We dropped the rate on realization of capital gains from 28% to 15%, and over that time, revenues from that specific tax increased from 60 billion dollars in 1998 to 248 billion dollars in 2006. I would call that an increase.
The tax cuts in 2001 and 2003, likewise, did not stop the continual increase in federal tax revenues. They actually raised the average increase of revenues each year above the 20 year standard.
Honestly. Read a book. Research these kinds of things. Don’t just live your life accepting whatever garbage you hear from the media.
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The health care nudge reminds me of the health fee at school. I work full-time and have health care through work. I also attend graduate school at night and every quarter I am required to waive my school health fee by submitting all of my insurance information from work. This is a serious pain, especially if I forget. Thaler has hence contradicted himself. As an absent-minded professor he relies on automatic payments to avoid late-fees for bills. I am the same way. This obviously means that it is not in his nature to remember to cancel his health care if he doesn’t really need it until he has already wasted an amount of money that could be equivalent to, if not more than a late-fee. Advise people of what to do, don’t enforce it. This is edging away from capitalism
I feel two different issues in this thread. One is the real question, can government frame actions to make them more attractive, such as tax breaks to save for your own retirement and health care. The other issue is the real evil- Obama and Clinton want to force a higher tax rate on earnings and investment which is a punishment to everyone who works and saves.
Back to the real question- Chile and Australia have government required retirements savings accounts that are PERSONAL. The U.S. has Social Security which is a pyramid scheme that is guaranteed to go broke and every dollar you put in is being paid to someone else- not invested for your own benefit. There are many “nudges” the U.S. could implement to at least improve us from the actual socialist, forceful theft we have now in Social Security and Medicare.
I like that, I like that a lot! Spot on!
To Bowles voting for Obama
If giving money away to big oil disguised in the form of a “gas tax holiday” and borrowing the money to pay for it from our children, throwing 100,000s of thousands of people across the country out of work and allowing our infrastructure to continue to crumble is what you consider is good economic policy then your no better than a Bush bot.
Trying to prey on the stupidity of the American people will not work this year.
You want more or the same, vote McCain.
My vote is for Obama.
Economists really, really need to learn that people rarely make rational choices, even when they think they are. Most of what we do is based on feeling. Advertising is designed to evoke a feeling, not a rational choice.
“Senator Obama has my vote.”
Comment by Deward Bowles
speaking nudges…well done WSJ
What is the downside? What is the long-run impact? Will we become less able to evaluate decisions and make the optimal choices given unique circumstances? Will our ability to optimize be subject to atrophy?
Comment by Paternalism
Good questions. I feel it would be the purpose of the initial “nudge” that answers these questions. In institutional economics they teach that there is always the ‘going concern’ of industry. To continue profits they must maintain profits. The consumer is their target, the consumer is powerless to the fundamental demands of the social framework of American society. The optimal choices of the consumer is subsistance and personal gain, which are rational decisions. Our optimal choices and investments are made within our personal scope, and carried out by big business. Our ability to optimize is subject to relative factors, which are functions of industry atrophy. I believe in the system of the US economy, I feel a nudge is the interest of the people who have a lot to lose. I feel human behavior is human behavior. We need to focus on the behavior of the businesses that create the nudges that attempt to create significant fluctuations in markets. Thorstein Veblen argues that the intentions of the ‘captains of industry’ is to create disturbances. The ‘captains of industries’ job is to position himself in a spot to cause disruption and be on the winning side. The only nudge I fall for is when my woman wants to waste some free time and get busy.
Why not paternal libertarianism?” asked Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman at a recent event
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Why not cold fire or dry water?
You have obviosly done very well for yourself seeing that you are part of the University of Chicago Business team of workers.


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