Rising Gas Prices Crushing Housing Recovery in Inland Empire
Michael Corkery reports:

Even though falling prices in California’s Inland Empire are making homes more affordable, rising gasoline prices are crushing hopes of a housing recovery in this area, east of Los Angeles.
Deutsche Bank analyst Nishu Sood estimates that gas expenditures in the Inland Empire have increased to $1,322 a month from $534 a month in 2003 among local residents who commute about 120 miles a day, round trip.
Mr. Sood says soaring gas prices are hurting home builders that generated much of their profits during the housing boom by building in the far-flung suburbs of California. But it’s also hurting builders in non-bubble markets in Texas and Atlanta with long commutes.
Overall, a person living in a recently built suburban subdivision travels 14,883 miles a year compared to an average of 12,197 miles, Mr. Sood estimates. “Land that was purchased with expanding metro areas in mind has already been hard hit in value,” says Mr. Sood. ”Sustained higher gas prices could render it effectively worthless.”
Mr. Sood should get a new calculator. Unless he is assuming about 8 mpg it would not cost $1322 per month for gas for that commute.
that’s an assumption that a combination of of .55 cents per mile + cost of car + ins + etc.
ulterior motives are also at work . . .
All these reports and analysts are starting to sound like…
XYZ Company’s earnings decreased last quarter due to (fill in the blank).
A ‘recovery’ and more ‘affordable’ means lowering the prices to levels that sustain savers and buyers to acquire new and used houses.
And, yes these ‘levels’ shall be extremely uncomfortable for sellers, their advisors, and a majority of the media.
Also, the housing industry cannot have it both ways.
If Club Fed cuts rates by 60% in less than 8 mos.; then
We are going to have monstrous inflation.
Since the USD is the reserve currency, then every commodity increases in price.
Not to mention - the oodles and oodles of money Club Fed is charging taxpayers - in the form of rebate checks and other fun perks - which only decreases the USD even more…
So - increase rates - mortgage, NAR, and a bunch of others cry - yet lowers inflation and strengthens the dollar; OR
Continue to cut rates - satiate the lobbyist crew and have runaway inflation (unless you believe the govt’s CORE #’s).
i think they calculate the expenditures on gas per household which usually have two cars, i.e. the 1322 dollars
The American SW was once littered with ghost towns,
history revisited?
yes these ‘levels’ shall be extremely uncomfortable for sellers, their advisors, and a majority of the media.
True statement. The media likes to report that there is easy money out there, and that is just what the housing market represented. Now they are breathlessly looking for any “good” news they can find. But they dont consider prices going down to be good news. It depends on your prespective. I consider it good. And no, a 10% drop isnt good enough. Prices were up at a record pace, so I expect declines at a record pace…No you say? Why not? The run up was good enough for you, why not me? And dont talk to me about any recession or hard times or any crap like that. I have saved money, I have kept my bills at a manageble level. I make a decent salary, so I can afford whatever gas I put in my car. Socialists would call me lucky, I call it being prepared. Honestly, I dont care about anyone who is having difficulty paying their bills. Get another job, or an education. Dont take my tax dollars to get you out of your situation.
Check out the whining in this article….
Low housing prices are actually good for certain people like myself. It reduces MY cost of living. Low prices = low mortgage and low insurance and low taxes = more money in my pocket. Yes staple items are up. But what percentage of your take home money is devoted to food, fuel, electricity. vs. your house note, interest, tax, maintenance. Clothing, electronics actually gotten cheaper. when a dvd player came out in 1997 it was around $200-$300, now it’s like less than $30.
So this confirms a theory of mine that I believe all midwestern’s have. Everyone in california drives an M1-A2 tank to work. This guys numbers are whacked. The costs for gas, even with 120 mile commute have gone up from approx 250/month to 500/month. The article says gas costs, not anything else.
Whoever this guys/girls editor’s are should be taken out back and shot
Nobody should ever complain about gas. If you spend every last red cent you have then shame on you. If you live 60 miles from work then you are either under educated or bad at budgeting your money, or you feel you deserve to have something you shouldn’t (e.g. a new or larger house instead of a resale or smaller one). Those people do not think! I say “They shall be foreclosed by Countrywide” (then get their houses back and foreclosed again by another bank).
Quantifying the exact impact of gas prices on residents in the IE or other suburban areas is not the point, but the “fact” that supports the author’s contention.
The reality is that home buyers are seriously contemplating commuting time and transportation costs into their living and lifestyle choices. As a result in Los Angeles urban housing prices are holding up better then those in commuter dominated bedroom communities.
It’s time to live, work, and play in close proximity and to dump the SUV in favor of a more fuel efficient vehicle.
The most effective step toward greater energy independence: people should live close to their job.
For every action there is a reaction. Employers can now move to the IE at a reduced price and hire qualified people for less. It may take some time, but it will work out. The IE is still a very nice place to live and raise a family (most parts of the IE).
“The most effective step toward greater energy independence: people should live close to their job.”
What about those who cannot afford to live near where they work? They are every bit in as bad a bind as those who cannot afford to commute a long distance.
My job recently moved an extra 45 miles away from my house. Its going to cost me about 3 grand a year more in gasoline. My car gets 30 mpg, and despite sharing the road with more SUVs than cars, I wish it got even better mileage.
Still, its easier to cough up an extra 3 grand a year than it would be to move out to the middle of nowhere (where the job is).
the world economy and the US economy in particular has built over the years on the assumption of a average price of crude oil at $40/barrel or somewhat.
the rise in price of crude affects everything now, atleast will start to crack the world economy which needs to adapt to this high price. this will occur over the next 5 years or more, but until that happens, buckle up. prices are headed higher on everything
Gov’t should tax gas like the Europeans do. Use the tax money to fund public transportation. Light rail out to the Inland Empire, and to Santa Monica from downtown, and to Santa Clarita. Light rail should be an option for commuters. The Inland Empire will become ghost towns without it. Stop using GAS!!!
plow the empire and plant crops there. Stack em up in L.A. county. The entire socal is sprawl of one story buildings. Build up.
So it seems like rising gas prices should increase the demand for infill projects located close to jobs.
Rising gas prices make some areas more appealing as well.
Raise gas taxes! If we had done so years ago, we could have invested in needed infrastructure, local transit systems of all descriptions, and alte
Raise gas taxes! If we had done so years ago, we could have invested in needed public infrastructure, local transit systems of all descriptions, and all manner of alternative/renewable energy resources. The private sector would have responded with innovative energy platforms, fuel efficient vehicles and new real estate development models as well.
I’m looking at possibly taking a new job 30 miles from my house and have been thinking about how long I should wait before selling my house and moving closer because that is much too far for me to commute long term. Who is crazy enough to buy a house 60 miles from their job?
California’s population is now an astounding 38 million. Quality of life has been steadily decreasing and will continue as we deal with an ever-increasing population. Perhaps the gas prices will cause growth to occur elsewhere in the US. We are being asked to conserve water ostensibly so that we can accommodate another 30 million Californians. Politicians and the media will not touch the population/resource/quality-of-life-nexus with a 10-foot pole.
For many years ( I mean many!) I have been saying the same thing over and over again…all resources are precious commodities..and must be taken care of…We as Americans think we deserve everything cheaper than those throughout the rest of the world…WE STILL HAVE THE LOWEST GAS PRICES…Worldwide….Its our fault that we still havent taken advantage of other alternative fuels…its all there for us..but we are afraid of change…ALL those of you out there who like to live like the JONES’s and want to drive auto’s that you can’t afford and live in homes that you cannot make the notes on…should educate yourselves on economics….If you can’t afford gasoline for your overvalued autos..then your budget skills are truly risky to you and your family as well. What are we trying to do ??? as a nation?? Only the rich ARE RICH…I still drive my 1990 BMW…runs great..its paid for…I don’t worry…I save always at least $600-700.00 monthly…a new BMW would have wiped out any of my savings for retirement!!! This is a good time for everyone to re-examine everything in their lives..including myself..
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